Accurate understanding of the general trend of world development

General Secretary Xi Jinping emphasized: "Understanding the general trend of world development and keeping up with the trend of the times is an extremely important and often new topic." At present, the change of the world, the change of the times and the change of history are unfolding in an unprecedented way. In the face of the turbulent international situation, the complex and sensitive surrounding environment, and the arduous and arduous tasks of reform, development and stability, we must accurately understand the general trend of world development and scientifically grasp the new historical position of China's development. This is of great significance for coordinating the overall domestic and international situations, comprehensively promoting the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation with Chinese-style modernization, and promoting the construction of a community with a shared future for mankind.
Comprehensive understanding of the evolution of the international situation in the transition period of the world
General Secretary Xi Jinping pointed out: "Throughout human history, world development has always been the comprehensive result of the interweaving and interaction of various contradictions." At present, the century-old changes are evolving in depth, and the world has entered a new period of turbulence and change, with more uncertain, unstable and unpredictable factors. We must discover the essence from the appearance of the forest, and through in-depth observation and strategic judgment, we must recognize the law and direction of the development of the contradictory movement of the international situation.
Relations between the major powers have been readjusted in depth, but the trend towards a multipolar world has not changed. In recent years, the world situation, especially the relations between major powers, has undergone profound changes. Individual major powers are engaged in new camp confrontation under the banner of multilateralism, and the dispute between multilateralism and unilateralism has become more acute. However, world multipolarization is still developing in depth. China is committed to promoting the establishment of a framework of major-country relations with overall stability and balanced development. Russia and many European countries clearly oppose a unipolar world and group confrontation. The difficulties faced by emerging market countries and developing countries have increased, but the general trend of overall strength has not changed. Emerging market countries and developing countries have contributed as much as 80% to world economic growth in the past 20 years, and the global share of GDP has increased from 24% to more than 40% in the past 40 years. The BRICS countries, the Shanghai Cooperation Organization and other cooperation mechanisms have taken steps to expand their membership, and the African Union has joined the G20. The countries of the global South have continuously strengthened their solidarity and cooperation, and have moved forward hand in hand in the struggle to carry out national construction, achieve independent development, and promote the democratization of international relations.
The world economic structure has undergone profound changes, but the general trend of sustained economic globalization is irreversible. In recent years, economic globalization has encountered headwinds and protectionism has risen significantly. Individual countries have generalized national security, politicized and weaponized economic, trade and technological exchanges, built "small courtyards and high walls", and encouraged "decoupling and chain breaking". In addition, affected by regional conflicts, the stability of the world industrial chain and supply chain has been impacted. Today, with the rapid development of information technology, the cosmopolitan nature of human exchanges is deeper and more extensive than ever before, and countries are interconnected and interdependent more frequently and closely than ever before. Economic globalization is not a choice, but a reality, and even a way of life. The sea of the world economy has not and will not retreat to isolated lakes and rivers. Economic globalization is facing new adjustments in form and content, but the trend of economic globalization is irreversible.
International security challenges are complex, but the international community's pursuit of peace and stability remains unchanged. The crisis in Ukraine has been delayed, the conflict between Palestine and Israel has been raging, and regional security hotspots have emerged one after another. Non-traditional security challenges such as terrorism, cyber attacks, transnational crime and biosecurity are on the rise. Today, when countries are interdependent, the pursuit of "absolute security" will not work, and the Cold War mentality that you lose or win is outdated. The crisis in Ukraine has made the people of all countries more aware of the huge spillover effects of war and conflict. The mainstream public opinion of the international community is to resolve conflicts through negotiation, resolve disputes through consultation, and deal with non-traditional security threats through international cooperation. The voice of all countries for peace and development has become stronger, and their aspirations for fairness and justice have become stronger.
Different ideas and cultures agitate each other, but the general trend of civilized exchanges and mutual learning has not changed. In today's world, individual countries stick to the thinking of "either this or that" and "black or white", advocate the theory of "clash of civilizations" and "theory of superiority of civilization" and engage in ideological confrontation. However, the diversity of civilizations is the basic feature of human society. Each civilization has its own unique charm and is the spiritual treasure of mankind. The history of human development is a history of the coexistence of multiple civilizations. The period of relatively smooth dialogue and exchange of civilizations is often a period when conflicts and wars are effectively suppressed. The international community is increasingly aware that differences in values and systems should not be a reason for confrontation. Civilized exchanges and mutual learning can enhance mutual understanding and encourage common progress. It is an important way to maintain world peace and regional stability.
Deeply grasp the unstoppable historical trend of peace, development, cooperation and win-win results
General Secretary Xi Jinping pointed out, "Human history tells us that the more difficult the moment, the more we must strengthen our confidence. No hardship and twists and turns can stop the wheel of history." In recent years, the two trends of change and turbulence in the world have continued to evolve. The two orientations of unity and division have stirred each other, and the development of human society is full of turbulence. However, it should be noted that conflict, confrontation, containment, and decoupling go against the trend and are doomed to failure. Peace, development, cooperation, and win-win are the aspirations of the people and the general trend.
Look at the historical trend from the dimension of the grand view of history. When we look at the world, we can't just stare at one thing with a static eye, otherwise we will be easily dazzled by random flowers and blinded by floating clouds. It is necessary to pick up the telescope of history and grasp the past, present and future with a dynamic and long-term vision. Since ancient times, the most simple wish of mankind is peace and development. At present, the awareness of the people of all countries in the world to cherish peace, expand cooperation, and develop together has increased significantly. The concept of the human family has become more deeply rooted in the hearts of the people. People's yearning and pursuit of a community with a shared future for mankind have become more ardent. Today, mankind is better equipped to move towards peace and development. No force can stop the wheel of history.
Look at the historical trend from the perspective of the big picture. When we look at the world, we should not only look at the phenomena and details, but also grasp the essence and the overall situation, see clearly the mainstream and tributaries, and grasp the main contradictions and the main aspects of contradictions. At present, the Cold War mentality in the world is still lingering, the geopolitical situation is grim, the downward pressure on the world economy is increasing, and global development is facing many challenges. However, we must also see that the new round of scientific and technological revolution and industrial transformation are developing in depth, giving birth to new industries, new formats, and new models, and bringing new opportunities to the progress of human social productivity. In the face of twists and turns and difficulties, the vast majority of developing countries in the world have more consciously strengthened unity, cooperated more actively, responded more proactively to changes, worked hard to promote their own modernization process, and promoted the development of the global governance system in a more just and reasonable direction.
Look at the historical trend from the perspective of people's hearts. The people are the creators of history, and history is written by the people. At present, the planet on which we live is facing multiple crises, and mankind stands at the crossroads of where to go. More and more people realize that if they compete viciously or even fight each other for power, they will only embark on the road of self-destruction in the end. More and more people stand on the right side of history, unite under the banner of building a community with a shared future for mankind, and work hard to build a world of lasting peace, universal security, common prosperity, openness, inclusiveness, cleanliness and beauty. The people's yearning for a better life and the desire of all countries to achieve common development and prosperity will eventually converge into a majestic force to promote world peace and development.
China's development has always been the growth of world peace forces and an opportunity for the common development of all countries.
In the new era and new journey, China's interconnection and interaction with the international community are unprecedentedly close. China's dependence on the world and its participation in international affairs are constantly deepening, and the world's dependence on China and its influence on China are also deepening. China's development has always been the growth of world peace forces and an opportunity for the common development of all countries.
China's high-quality development continues to take new steps, and the resilience of economic development continues to increase. Since the 18th National Congress of the Communist Party of China, our party has put forward a new development concept, focused on promoting high-quality development, and built a new development pattern. my country's economic strength has achieved a historic leap. my country's development has stood at a higher historical starting point and has also brought more to the world. Many opportunities. In the past 10 years, China's annual average contribution to world economic growth has exceeded 30%. At present, the endogenous power and reliability of China's domestic large cycle have been significantly enhanced, the quality and level of the international cycle have been continuously improved, the construction of a modern economic system has been continuously promoted, the total factor productivity has been effectively improved, and the resilience and safety level of the industrial chain supply chain have been significantly improved. In the long run, the fundamentals of China's strong economic resilience, sufficient potential, wide room for maneuver, and long-term improvement will not change. As a super large-scale economy, China firmly promotes high-quality development and high-level opening up, which will continue to provide strong momentum for the development of the world economy.
The construction of modern civilization of the Chinese nation has made solid progress, and its spiritual strength has been continuously enhanced. Chinese civilization is the only great civilization in the world that has continued to develop in the form of a state. The ideological concepts, humanistic spirit, and ethics contained in the excellent Chinese traditional culture are not only the core of Chinese thought and spirit, but also have important value in solving human problems. Since the 18th National Congress of the Communist Party of China, our party has organically combined the adherence to Marxism with the promotion of Chinese excellent traditional culture, promoted the creative transformation and innovative development of Chinese excellent traditional culture, effectively promoted the construction of socialist culture with Chinese characteristics, and focused on building the modern civilization of the Chinese nation. The historical and cultural confidence of the whole party and the people of all ethnic groups has reached a new height. China promotes the construction of a community with a shared future for mankind internationally, advocates the common values of peace, development, fairness, justice, democracy, and freedom for all mankind, advocates a civilization concept of equality, mutual learning, dialogue, and tolerance, and proposes and promotes the implementation of the global civilization initiative. Solving the common problems of mankind provides ideological wisdom and spiritual motivation.
Chinese-style modernization has produced important demonstration effects, and its ability to build consensus on peace and development has been continuously enhanced. Chinese-style modernization contains a unique world outlook, values, history, civilization, democracy, ecology, etc., and has achieved world-renowned achievements, showing a new picture different from Western modernization, and opening up a new path for latecomer countries to modernize. It is a major innovation in the theory and practice of world modernization. The modernization of the world should be the modernization of peaceful development, the modernization of mutually beneficial cooperation, and the modernization of common prosperity. What China pursues is not a unique modernization, but a sincere sharing of modernization experience and development opportunities, and a common realization of modernization with the vast number of developing countries and other countries in the world. Chinese-style modernization has inspired the confidence of the vast number of developing countries to independently explore the path of modernization, and will gather more consensus and strength dedicated to peace and development.
China's diplomatic theory and practice have become increasingly mature, and its ability to lead major changes has been continuously enhanced. Xi Jinping's diplomatic thought has incisively answered a series of major theoretical and practical questions, such as what kind of world China should promote and what kind of international relations China should build, what kind of diplomacy China needs under the new situation, and how to conduct diplomacy. It has pointed out the way forward for China's foreign work in the new era, and also provided China's wisdom and China's plan for world peace and development. Under the scientific guidance of Xi Jinping's diplomatic thought, the major country diplomacy with Chinese characteristics has been comprehensively promoted. Whether it is to maintain international fairness and justice or improve global governance, whether it is to promote common development or solve hot issues, China's constructive role on the world stage in the new era is irreplaceable, and its international influence, appeal, and shaping power have increased significantly, leading the world The great changes are developing in the direction of promoting the construction of a community with a shared future for mankind.
In the face of the complex and severe external environment, we must adhere to the guidance of Xi Jinping Thought on Socialism with Chinese Characteristics for a New Era, fully implement Xi Jinping Thought on Diplomacy, and treat the changes and changes in the international situation dialectically, maintaining strategic determination, strengthening strategic self-confidence, and Adhere to the bottom line thinking, enhance the sense of worry, and continue to hold high the banner of building a community with a shared future for mankind, in order to solve the peace deficit, development deficit, security deficit and governance deficit, we will provide China's solutions, contribute China's strength, and constantly promote the lofty cause of human peace and development.

(writer: wang wenqi, wu xiaodan, zhang weipeng)